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The Trinity Study Tables

Table 1: Portfolio Success Rate: Percentage of all Past Payout Periods From 1926 to 1995 That are Supported by the Portfolio

Note: Numbers in the table are rounded to the nearest whole percentage. The number of overlapping 15-year payout periods from 1926 to 1995, inclusively, is 56; 20-year periods, 51; 25-year periods, 46; 30-year periods, 41. Stocks are represented by Standard and Poor's 500 Index, and bonds are represented by long-term, high-grade corporates.
Data source: Calculations based on data from Ibbotson Associates.

Portfolio Composition/
Payout Period
Withdrawal Rate as a %
of Initial Portfolio Value
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
100% Stocks
15 Years 100 100 98 98 93 91 88 77 63 55
20 Years 100 98 96 94 92 84 73 61 47 43
25 Years 100 98 96 91 87 78 70 50 43 35
30 Years 100 98 95 90 85 78 68 54 49 34
75% Stocks-25% Bonds
15 Years 100 100 100 100 96 95 91 79 63 46
20 Years 100 100 100 96 94 88 71 51 41 33
25 Years 100 100 98 96 91 78 57 46 33 26
30 Years 100 100 98 95 88 73 54 46 37 24
50% Stocks-50% Bonds
15 Years 100 100 100 100 100 98 91 71 50 36
20 Years 100 100 100 100 96 88 61 41 25 10
25 Years 100 100 100 98 96 70 43 22 7 0
30 Years 100 100 100 98 90 51 37 15 0 0
25% Stocks-75% Bonds
15 Years 100 100 100 100 100 100 91 50 21 14
20 Years 100 100 100 100 100 71 24 12 4 2
25 Years 100 100 100 100 78 22 9 0 0 0
30 Years 100 100 100 100 32 5 0 0 0 0
100% Bonds
15 Years 100 100 100 100 100 79 43 38 14 7
20 Years 100 100 100 96 47 35 16 6 0 0
25 Years 100 100 98 52 26 7 2 0 0 0
30 Years 100 100 51 27 0 0 0 0 0 0

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